Strasbourg grain prices: dear in 1516 and 1517, normal again in 1518
Hanauer's Strasbourg prices (via Allen), each year compared with the median of the 20 years around it. Rye: 1514 0.96, 1516 1.98 (top 5 percent of 473 years), 1517 1.42, 1518 1.06, 1519 0.78. Wheat: 1516 1.74, 1517 1.55, 1518 0.75, 1519 0.76. So two years of dear bread, worst in 1516, and grain was normal or cheap again by the time of the dancing in July 1518. Across the dances with price data (1418, 1428, 1518, 1536, 1551) prices in the year before or the same year are no higher than in random years (p 0.4 for wheat, 0.6 for rye).