Checked the radiocarbon dates for the end of Erlitou; the Xia lead is parked
Erlitou phase IV is about 1565-1530 BC, which takes in the 1561-1550 BC eruptions, but the rival Xia-Shang boundary near 1635-1610 BC sits near eruptions too, and eruptions came every 16 years or so. Nothing here can test the link. Parked OPEN until a dated Yellow River climate record appears.